Here comes Tropical Soulvangelical getting me the Happy Bachelor to split our base share into two separate shares with the election. Here's the first one with Allan Lichtman's Keys To The White House, and seeing how Mr. Lichtman does his YouTube live update on Thursdays, TSV's hoping he isn't trashing his own Keys and their predictability, because TSV believes that the Keys being worked properly actually -did- predict a -trump- win, but that there was wrong information and assumptions being used. TSV believes that the two keys that gave -trump- a win was social unrest and challenger charisma, and here's how. With social unrest, TSV begs with differ with Mr. Lichtman in that the anti-Israel protests weren't limited to just a few college campuses as per TSV's understanding of those protests. In fact, there's nary a college TSV knows about that -didn't- have protests, and that the protest groups did everything they could to carry their anti-Israel hatred of Biden onto Harris. Again it's about young people and Biden, whereby TSV thinks young people are mistaken about how terrible Biden is as a public figure. Mr. Lichtman didn't believe that the protests compared with the antiwar protests of the 60s, but TSV observes that they didn't have Facebook or Twitter, etc., back in the 60s, so the protests were more out and obvious then. The other key was about challenger charisma, which Mr. Lichtman also dismisses on -trump- but TSV thinks -trump- was still charimatic enough with those young swing voters that TSV believes put -trump- over the finish line, because, again, it's this thing with If Not One Then The Other that TSV thinks young voters were thinking about Biden and generalizing to Harris. They truly seemed to believe that they should go with -trump- because they hate Biden and generalizing to Harris over Israel and perceptions of the economy. The economic bit with short-term TSV wonders could be a third key in -trump's- column, because contrary to what TSV heard Mr. Lichtman say, you probably do have to factor in economic perceptions. TSV does agree with Mr. Lichtman that most of these perceptions are highly incorrect and anti-Biden biased, but TSV also believes they need to be factored in with the Keys and they weren't. More about the election in our other base share.

Tropical Soulvangelical already talked about the Keys To The White House in the other base share, but he now wants to let out on how terrible Presidential elections really are, even when his candidate wins, and how he doesn't believe they were ever truly democratic, even when his candidate wins, and it's actually not about the Electoral College. It's partly about the involvement of self important consultants such as George Clooney and Mark Cuban and Bob DeNiro whom TSV doesn't believe have any business putting their thumb on the scale in terms of them telling people what to do in activist matters, particularly with respect to that hostility towards Biden that TSV sticks it to them with, and will do so in years and decades to come. The other problem is with election year anxiety and how TSV believes that interferes with people making sound activist decisions based on sincere stalwart defiance rather than as desperate and futile attempts at things as is what TSV has observed since 2004 at least as progressive traits. He's never seen any actual -stalwart- progressive efforts in election matters, because otherwise we would be hoisting Kamala Harris on our proverbial shoulders with victory chants to boot. It confirmed TSV's donkeyish conservatism for him, and how you need to conserve stalwart defiance over letting them see you sweat, not to mention conserving National Principle that TSV also observes as progressive forces not making a priority. After all, the situation with -trump- TSV parks at the feet of the progressives from Ed Snowden onwards when they still inexplicably back in 2013 emphasized second- and third- and fourth- guessing one's national confidence just because Ed Snowden said so. Ed Snowden was the Clooney/DeNiro of his time, and TSV sees progressives as not taking Putin as seriously then as TSV did. They actually believed that Putin's Russia was part of New Europe that needed to be placed above Old Europe which they faulted as colluding with Obama on surveillance issues. In that way they were for Putin before they were against him just two and a half years ago, which TSV sees as too little too late. But TSV wants to contact the Harris Team about retaining the Great Coalition that involves those who wish to conserve things of value from across the political spectrum, because he sees the election as a mere snapshot rather than as a setting in stone of how things "have" to be for the next four years, supposedly unchangingly, and that's another cultural assumption TSV sees as erroneous with elections. We had elections in the UK, Mexico, the Philippines, Mozambique among other countries, and he's never heard of election anxiety at the same level as in the U.S., not even in Mozambique. TSV has never heard of those countries' Cloonies/DeNiros/Cubans as ever putting their thumbs on the scale like they do here. When Kier Starmer rose to prominence in the UK, TSV never heard of Brits biting their nails over whether Rishi Sunak would be overcome, or whether a British DeNiro type would ruin it for the Labour Party like ours did outside of the -trump- courthouse back in the spring. So this base share along with the Keys share is TSV outlining everything that's wrong with American Democracy, how the country's Founders should have and never prevented such and issues such as the electoral college tend to distract from real democratic problems. The electoral college TSV thinks deserves its own base share, but suffice it to say that if you -could- solve the electoral college problem, TSV doesn't see it as -truly- doing anything signficant enough to solve the other problems with, which are cultural. Stay tuned as TSV continues to dress down the country for its democratic problems for the rest of the year.