Thursday, March 3, 2022

The Heir has words of caution for people. It may be heartening to watch worldwide demonstrations online, or grandmas throw Molotov cocktails in the grease tracks of lines of tanks, but the Heir doesn't believe the real struggle for Ukraine has begun. For one thing, Putin still has China on his side, and the Heir is skeptical of China's supposed "unease" about the invasion of Ukraine. He doesn't think China's worried about taking the wrong moral position as much as not getting caught up in a military screwup on Russia's part. The Heir believes China wants Putin to have a better strategy before they help him out in some way, whether that's through secret military funding or trying to secretly defeat Western sanctions. Putin knows that China essentially owns roughly 90% of the world's technology, and at any time China can come back and tell the West, "Well? What are you going to do about it?" The Heir's also concerned with the lack of PR out of Homeland Security regarding highly localized incidents of active measures, and I the Mentor think we went into some detail in a previous base share. But thankfully, we found out that problems that Marco's Grandmother had in her neighbor's online connection, and hence Marco's Grandmother's connection were *not* due to active measures. It was a guy who screwed up at the cable company, and not connected with Russia's invasion of Ukraine. But you can't get too complacent. As the old saying goes, if you see something say something.

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